The Finance Minister of Tamil Nadu, Dr. Palanivel Thiaga Rajan, presented the budget for the state for the financial year 2021-22 on August 13, 2021.  Note that due to the impact of COVID-19, 2020-21 was not a standard year with respect to the performance of the economy and government finances.  In this note, the 2021-22 budget estimates have been compared to the actuals for 2019-20 (in terms of compounded annual growth rate or CAGR).  The Annexure provides a comparison of the revised estimates for 2020-21 and budget estimates for 2021-22. 

Budget Highlights

  • The Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) of Tamil Nadu in 2021-22 (at current prices) is projected to be Rs 21,36,351 crore, an annualised increase of 7.6% over the GSDP in 2019-20.  As per the revised estimates, in 2020-21, GSDP is estimated to increase by 5.3% over 2019-20 (budget estimate was 13.3%).
  • Total expenditure for 2021-22 is estimated to be Rs 3,29,035 crore, an annualised increase of 12.9% over the actual expenditure in 2019-20.  As per the revised estimates, total expenditure for 2020-21 is estimated to be Rs 3,06,917 crore, 2.2% higher than the budget estimate.
  • Total receipts (excluding borrowings) for 2021-22 are estimated to be Rs 2,08,553 crore, an annual increase of 7.7% over 2019-20.  In 2020-21, total receipts (excluding borrowings) are estimated to fall short of the budget estimate by Rs 38,675 crore (17.2%).
  • Revenue deficit in 2021-22 is estimated to be Rs 58,693 crore (2.8% of GSDP).   In 2020-21, revenue deficit is estimated to be 3.4% of GSDP at the revised stage, significantly higher than the budget estimate (1.0%).  
  • Fiscal deficit for 2021-22 is targeted at Rs 92,529 crore (4.3% of GSDP).   In 2020-21 (revised estimate), fiscal deficit is estimated to be 5.0% of GSDP, significantly higher than the budget estimate of 2.8%.  

Tax and Policy Highlights

  • Tax on petrol:  The tax on petrol will be reduced by three rupees per litre.  The tax cut is estimated to cause a revenue loss of Rs 1,160 crore a year.
  • Housing for poor:  Around eight lakh houseless families in rural areas will be provided with a house in the next five years.  
  • Social security pension:  Implementation of Old Age Pensions scheme will be overhauled and its coverage expanded to all deserving beneficiaries.
  • Urban employment:  A wage employment scheme will be implemented on a pilot basis to provide gainful employment to urban poor.  An initial allocation of Rs 100 crore has been announced for this scheme.

Tamil Nadu's Economy

  • GSDP:  In 2020-21, Tamil Nadu’s GSDP (at constant prices) is estimated to grow by 1.4% over the previous year.  In comparison, India’s GDP is estimated to contract by 7.3% in 2020-21.
  • Sectors:  In 2020-21, agriculture, manufacturing, and services sectors are estimated to contribute to 12%, 37%, and 51% of the economy, respectively.  These sectors are estimated to grow by 4.8%, 0.4% and 1.1%, respectively, in 2020-21.
  • Per capita GSDP:  Tamil Nadu’s per capita GSDP (at constant prices) is estimated at Rs 1,70,043 in 2020-21, 1% higher than that in 2019-20.
  • Unemployment:  According to the Periodic Labour Force Survey 2019-2020, Tamil Nadu’s unemployment rate was 5.3%, higher than the all-India rate of 4.8%.

Figure 1:  Growth in GSDP and sectors in Tamil Nadu at constant prices (2011-12)

 image

Note:  Agriculture includes mining.  Figures as per 2011-12 constant prices, i.e., they have been adjusted for inflation.

Sources:  Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation; PRS.

Budget Estimates for 2021-22

  • Total expenditure for 2021-22 is targeted at Rs 3,29,035 crore.  This is an annual increase of 13% over the actual expenditure in 2019-20.  This expenditure is proposed to be met through receipts (other than borrowings) of Rs 2,08,553 crore and gross borrowings of Rs 1,18,250 crore.  Total receipts for 2021-22 (other than borrowings) are expected to register an annual increase of 8% over actual receipts in 2019-20.
  • As per the revised estimate for 2020-21, receipts (other than borrowings) are estimated to be 17% less than the budget estimate.  In comparison, total expenditure is estimated to be 2% higher than budgeted.  Borrowings are estimated to be 47% higher than the budget estimate.
  • Fiscal deficit for 2021-22 is estimated at 4.33% of GSDP (Rs 92,529 crore), with revenue deficit at 2.75% of GSDP (Rs 58,693 crore).  In 2020-21, revenue deficit is estimated to be 3.40% of GSDP (Rs 65,994 crore) at the revised stage, which is significantly higher than the budget estimate at 1.03% of GSDP.  Fiscal deficit for 2020-21 is estimated to be 4.99% of GSDP (Rs 96,890 crore) at the revised stage, as compared to the budget estimate at 2.84% of GSDP.

Table 1:  Budget 2021-22 - Key figures (in Rs crore)

Items

2019-20 Actuals

2020-21 Budgeted

2020-21 Revised

% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21

2021-22 Budgeted

Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE)

Total Expenditure

2,57,955

3,00,390

3,06,917

2%

3,29,035

13%

A. Receipts (except borrowings)

1,79,910

2,24,740

1,86,065

-17%

2,08,553

8%

B. Borrowings

66,774

74,107

1,08,851

47%

1,18,250

33%

Total Receipts (A+B)

2,46,684

2,98,847

2,94,916

-1%

3,26,803

15%

Revenue Deficit

35,909

21,618

65,994

205%

58,693

28%

As % of GSDP

1.95%

1.03%

3.40%

 

2.75%

 

Fiscal Deficit

60,179

59,346

96,890

63%

92,529

24%

As % of GSDP

3.26%

2.84%

4.99%

 

4.33%

 

Primary Deficit

27,239

22,226

66,917

201%

57,697

46%

As % of GSDP

1.48%

1.06%

3.44%

 

2.70%

 

Note:  BE is Budget Estimate; RE is Revised Estimate.  Fiscal deficit and Primary Deficit for RE 2020-21 and BE 2021-22 have been calculated after adjusting for back to back loan in lieu of GST compensation.

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

Expenditure in 2021-22

Grants to Local Governments

The state government provides compensation and assignments to local bodies and Panchayati Raj institutions.  In 2021-22, this amount is estimated to be Rs 16,281 crore, an annual increase of 2% over the actual allocation in 2019-20.

  • Capital expenditure for 2021-22 is proposed to be Rs 67,846 crore, which is an annual increase of 19% over the actual capital expenditure in 2019-20.  Capital expenditure includes expenditure affecting the assets and liabilities of the state, such as: (i) capital outlay, i.e., expenditure which leads to creation of assets (such as bridges and hospitals), and (ii) debt repayment and grant of loans by the state government.  In 2021-22, capital outlay is estimated to be Rs 42,181 crore, an annual increase of 28% over 2019-20.  In 2020-21, capital outlay is estimated to be 4% higher than the budget estimate.
  • Revenue expenditure for 2021-22 is proposed to be Rs 2,61,189 crore, an annual increase of 11% over 2019-20.  This expenditure includes the payment of salaries, pensions, and interest.  In 2020-21, revenue expenditure is estimated to be 2% higher than the budget estimate.

Table 2:  Expenditure budget 2021-22 (in Rs crore)

Items

2019-20 Actuals

2020-21 Budgeted

2020-21 Revised

% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21

2021-22 Budgeted

Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE)

Capital Expenditure

47,520

59,397

60,222

1%

67,846

19%

      of which Capital Outlay

25,632

36,368

37,734

4%

42,181

28%

Revenue Expenditure

2,10,435

2,40,993

2,46,695

2%

2,61,189

11%

Total Expenditure

2,57,955

3,00,390

3,06,917

2%

3,29,035

13%

A. Debt Repayment

17,866

16,304

16,353

0%

19,857

5%

B. Interest Payments

31,980

36,311

36,554

1%

41,603

14%

Debt Servicing (A+B)

49,846

52,616

52,907

1%

61,460

11%

Note: Debt includes RBI’s ways and means advances.  BE is Budget Estimate; RE is Revised Estimate. 

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

Sectoral expenditure in 2021-22

The sectors listed below account for 57% of the total expenditure on all sectors by the state in 2021-22.  A comparison of Tamil Nadu’s expenditure on key sectors with that by the other states is given in Annexure 1.

Table 3:  Sector-wise expenditure under Tamil Nadu Budget 2021-22 (in Rs crore)

Sector

2019-20 Actuals

2020-21

BE

2020-21

RE

2021-22

BE

Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE)

Budget Provisions 2021-22

Education, Sports, Arts, and Culture

38,747

41,627

40,881

40,208

2%

  • Rs 10,514 crore has been allocated for government secondary schools.
  • Rs 9,606 crore has been allocated for government primary schools.

Social Welfare and Nutrition

13,336

14,071

23,592

24,527

36%

  • Rs 1,866 crore has been allocated towards Social Security Net- Indira Gandhi National Old Age Pension.
  • Rs 1,624 crore has been allocated for mid-day meals.

Agriculture and allied activities

15,274

16,986

17,339

23,398

24%

  • Rs 2,327 crore has been allocated towards crop insurance schemes. 

Health and Family Welfare

12,321

15,773

18,214

18,632

23%

  • Rs 1,959 crore has been allocated towards establishment of government medical colleges with existing district/referral hospitals.
  • Rs 1,577 crore has been allocated towards schemes under the National Health Mission.  Rs 713 crore has been allocated towards COVID-19 emergency response under National Rural Health Mission.

Transport

11,660

14,745

15,238

18,156

25%

  • Rs 14,015 crore has been allocated towards capital outlay on roads and bridges.

Energy

9,497

13,118

17,042

16,020

30%

  • Rs 7,108 crore has been allocated for taking over future loss of TANDGEDCO under UDAY scheme. 
  • Rs 4,563 crore has been provided to TANGEDCO for debt servicing under UDAY scheme. 

Rural Development

5,367

8,004

7,292

8,964

29%

  • Rs 2,100 crore has been allocated towards MGNREGS.
  • Rs 833 crore has been allocated towards road/bridge works under PMGSY-Bharat Nirman.

Urban Development

4,488

7,869

7,083

8,803

40%

  • Rs 2,350 crore has been allocated for implementation of SMART cities mission.

Police

7,930

8,517

8,091

8,601

4%

  • Rs 4,629 crore has been allocated for the district police.

Irrigation and Flood Control

4,523

6,342

8,349

5,761

13%

  • Rs 2,890 crore has been allocated for capital outlay on major irrigation.

% of total expenditure on all sectors

52%

53%

57%

57%

 

 

               

Note:  BE is Budget Estimate; RE is Revised Estimate.  

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

Committed expenditure:  Committed expenditure of a state typically includes expenditure towards payment of salaries, pension, and interest.  A larger proportion of budget allocated for committed expenditure items limits the state’s flexibility to decide on other expenditure priorities such as capital outlay.  In 2021-22, Tamil Nadu is estimated to spend Rs 1,33,773 crore on committed expenditure (a 6% annual increase over 2019-20), which is 66% of its revenue receipts.  This implies that 66% of the state’s revenue goes towards committed expenditure.  This comprises spending on salaries (32% of revenue receipts), pensions (14%), and interest payments (21%). 

Table 4:  Committed expenditure in 2021-22 (in Rs crore)

Committed Expenditure

2019-20 Actuals

2020-21 Budgeted

2020-21 Revised

% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21

2021-22 Budgeted

Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE)

Salaries

57,829

64,209

61,294

-5%

63,919

5%

Pension

30,202

35,159

27,696

-21%

28,251

-3%

Interest

31,980

36,311

36,554

1%

41,603

14%

Committed Expenditure

1,20,011

1,35,679

1,25,544

-7%

1,33,773

6%

As a % of Revenue Receipts

69%

62%

69%

-

66%

-

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.
 

Receipts in 2021-22

  • Total revenue receipts for 2021-22 are estimated to be Rs 2,02,496 crore, an annual increase of 8% over 2019-20.  Of this, Rs 1,40,783 crore (70%) will be raised by the state through its own resources, and Rs 61,712 crore (30%) will come from the centre.  Resources from the centre will be in the form of the state’s share in central taxes (13% of the state’s revenue receipts) and grants-in-aid (17% of revenue receipts).
  • Devolution:  In 2021-22, receipts from the state’s share in central taxes (devolution) are estimated to register an annual increase of 1% over 2019-20.  As per the revised estimate of 2020-21, devolution to the state is estimated to decrease by 30% as compared to the budget estimate.  This is due to a 30% cut in the union budget for devolution to states, from Rs 7,84,181 crore to Rs 5,49,959 crore at the revised stage.
  • State’s own tax revenue:  Total own tax revenue of Tamil Nadu is estimated to be Rs 1,26,644 crore in 2021-22, an annual increase of 9% over 2019-20.  In 2020-21, as per the revised estimate, state’s own tax revenue is estimated to be 18% lower than the budget estimate.  The own tax-GSDP ratio of the state is estimated at 5.9% in 2021-22, as compared to 5.7% in 2020-21. 

Table 5:  Break-up of the state government’s receipts (in Rs crore)

Items

2019-20 Actuals

2020-21

BE

2020-21

RE

% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21

2021-22 

BE

Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE)

State's Own Tax

1,07,462

1,33,530

1,09,969

-18%

1,26,644

9%

State's Own Non-Tax

12,888

15,899

12,683

-20%

14,139

5%

Share in Central Taxes

26,392

32,849

23,039

-30%

27,148

1%

Grants from Centre

27,783

37,097

35,009

-6%

34,564

12%

Revenue Receipts

1,74,526

2,19,375

1,80,701

-18%

2,02,496

8%

Borrowings

66,774

74,107

1,08,851

47%

1,18,250

33%

Other Receipts

5,384

5,364

5,364

0%

6,057

6%

Capital Receipts

72,158

79,472

1,14,216

44%

1,24,307

31%

Total Receipts

2,46,684

2,98,847

2,94,916

-1%

3,26,803

15%

Note:  Some figures may not tally due to rounding off.
 Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

GST Compensation

The GST (Compensation to States) Act, 2017 guarantees states compensation for five years (till 2022) for any revenue loss arising due to GST implementation.  The Act guarantees states a 14% annual growth in their GST revenue, failing which compensation grants are provided to states to meet the shortfall.  These grants are funded through the GST compensation cess levied by the centre.       As the cess collection is not sufficient to meet the compensation requirement of states in 2020-21 and 2021-22, a part of their requirement will be met through loans from the centre (which will be repaid using future cess collection).

Tamil Nadu is estimated to receive Rs 7,705 crore in the form of grants and Rs 8,095 crore in the form of loans on account of GST compensation (5% of its revenue receipts in total).  This is an annual increase of 33% over 2019-20 (Rs 8,922 crore).  In 2020-21, the state is estimated to receive Rs 8,410 crore as compensation grants and Rs 7,608 crore as loans from the centre in lieu of GST compensation grants.

 

  • In 2021-22, sales tax/VAT is estimated to be the largest source of the state’s own tax revenue (27%).  This revenue is estimated at Rs 53,798 crore, an annual increase of 10% over 2019-20.  In 2020-21, revenue from sales tax/VAT is estimated to be 22% lower than the budget estimate for the year.
  • In 2021-22, the state is expected to generate Rs 42,300 crore through state GST, an annual increase of 5% over 2019-20.
  • In 2021-22, Tamil Nadu is expected to generate Rs 13,253 crore from stamp duty and registration fees, an annual increase of 10% over 2019-20.  

 

Table 6:  Major sources of the state’s own tax revenue (in Rs crore)

Head

2019-20 Actuals

2020-21

BE

2020-21

RE

% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21

2021-22 

BE

Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE)

% of Revenue Receipts in 2021-22

Sales Tax/ VAT

44,515

56,046

43,784

-22%

53,798

10%

27%

State GST

38,376

46,196

41,249

-11%

42,300

5%

21%

Stamp Duty and Registration Fees

10,856

14,435

10,781

-25%

13,253

10%

6%

State Excise

7,206

8,134

7,815

-4%

8,770

10%

4%

Taxes on Vehicles

5,675

6,898

4,566

-34%

6,582

8%

3%

Taxes and Duties on Electricity

574

1,480

1,471

-1%

1,355

54%

1%

GST Compensation Grants

8,922

10,300

8,410

-18%

7,705

-7%

4%

GST Compensation Loans

-

-

7,608

-

8,095

-

4%

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

Deficits, Debt, and FRBM Targets for 2021-22

Fiscal Roadmap for 2021-26

The 15th Finance Commission recommended the following fiscal deficit targets for states for the 2021-26 period (as a % of GSDP): (i) 4% for 2021-22, (ii) 3.5% for 2022-23, and (iii) 3% for 2023-26.  The Commission estimates that this path will enable Tamil Nadu to bring down its total liabilities from 28.9% of GSDP in 2020-21 to 28.7% of GSDP at the end of 2025-26.

If a state is unable to fully utilise the sanctioned borrowing limit as specified above in any of the first four years (2021-25), it can avail the unutilised borrowing amount in subsequent years (within the 2021-26 period).  An additional borrowing worth 0.5% of GSDP will be allowed each year for the first four years (2021-25) upon undertaking certain power sector reforms including: (i) reduction in operational losses, (ii) reduction in revenue gap, (iii) reduction in payment of cash subsidy by adopting direct benefit transfer, and (iv) reduction in tariff subsidy as a percentage of revenue.  

The Tamil Nadu Fiscal Responsibility Act, 2003 provides annual targets to progressively reduce the outstanding liabilities, revenue deficit, and fiscal deficit of the state.

Revenue deficit:  It is the excess of revenue expenditure over revenue receipts.  A revenue deficit implies that the government needs to borrow to finance its expenses which do not increase its assets or reduces its liabilities.  The budget estimates a revenue deficit of Rs 58,693 crore (2.75% of GSDP) in 2021-22.  The 15th Finance Commission has recommended revenue deficit grants of Rs 2,204 crore for the state for the four-year period from 2021-22 to 2024-25.

Fiscal deficit:  It is the excess of total expenditure over total receipts.  This gap is filled by borrowings by the government and leads to an increase in total liabilities.  In 2021-22, the fiscal deficit is estimated to be Rs 92,529 crore (4.33% of GSDP).  As per the revised estimate, the fiscal deficit of the state is expected to be 4.99% of GSDP in 2020-21, significantly higher than the budget estimate of 2.84%.  

Enhanced borrowing limit in 2020-21: Given the situation due to COVID-19, the central government permitted states to increase their fiscal deficit up to 5% of GSDP in 2020- 21. All states were allowed to increase their fiscal deficit up to 4% of GSDP. The remaining 1% of GSDP is conditional on the implementation of reforms by states in the following areas (0.25% of GSDP for each reform): (i) one nation one ration card, (ii) ease of doing business, (iii) urban local body/ utility, and (iv) power distribution.   As of March 2021, Tamil Nadu was eligible to borrow an additional Rs 9,626 crore for completing reforms linked to ease of doing business and one nation one ration card. 

Outstanding liabilities:  Outstanding liabilities is the accumulation of borrowings taken by the state government over the years.  At the end of the year 2021-22, the state’s outstanding liabilities are expected to be 27.1% of GSDP, which is higher than the revised estimate of 25% of GSDP at the end of 2020-21.  The state’s outstanding liabilities are estimated to further increase from 27.1% of GSDP at the end of 2021-22 to 27.8% of GSDP at the end of 2023-24.

Table 7:  Budget targets for deficits for Tamil Nadu (% of GSDP)

Year

Revenue Deficit

Fiscal Deficit

Outstanding Liabilities

2018-19

1.4%

2.8%

20.8%

2019-20

2.0%

3.3%

21.5%

2020-21 RE

3.4%

5.0%

25.0%

2021-22 BE

2.8%

4.3%

27.1%

2022-23 

1.5%

3.5%

27.8%

2023-24

1.1%

3.0%

27.8%

Note:  Outstanding liabilities exclude Ways and Means Advance, Reserve Funds & Deposits. Figures are actuals for the period 2018-20, estimates for 2020-21 (revised) and 2021-22 (budget), and projections for the period 2022-24.

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

Figure 2:  Revenue and Fiscal Deficit (as % of GSDP) 

image

Note:  Actuals shown for 2018-20 and Medium Term Fiscal Plan targets for 2022-24, fiscal deficit excludes GST compensation loans.

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

Figure 3:  Outstanding liabilities (as % of GSDP)

image

Note:   Actuals shown for 2018-20 and Medium Term Fiscal Plan targets for 2022-24.   Outstanding liabilities exclude Ways and Means Advance, Reserve Funds & Deposits.

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.


 

Annexure 1:  Comparison of states’ expenditure on key sectors

The graphs below compare Tamil Nadu’s expenditure on six key sectors as a proportion of its total expenditure on all sectors (i.e., a sum of revenue expenditure and capital outlay for that sector).  The average for a sector indicates the average expenditure in that sector by 30 states (including Tamil Nadu) as per their budget estimates of 2020-21.[*]

  • Education:  Tamil Nadu has allocated 13.3% of its total expenditure for education in 2021-22.  This is lower than the average allocation (15.8%) for education by all states (2020-21 BE).
  • Health:  Tamil Nadu has allocated 6.1% of its total expenditure on health in 2021-22, which is higher than the average allocation for health by states (5.5%).
  • Agriculture:  The state has allocated 7.7% of its total expenditure towards agriculture and allied activities in 2021-22.  This is higher than the average allocation for agriculture by states (6.3%).
  • Rural development:  Tamil Nadu has allocated 3.0% of its expenditure on rural development in 2021-22.  This is significantly lower than the average allocation for rural development by states (6.1%).
  • Roads and bridges:  Tamil Nadu has allocated 5% of its total expenditure on roads and bridges in 2021-22, which is higher than the average allocation by states (4.3%).
  • Police:  Tamil Nadu has allocated 2.8% of its total expenditure on police in 2021-22, which is lower than the average allocation for police by states (4.3%).

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Note:  2019-20, 2020-21 (BE), 2020-21 (RE), and 2021-22 (BE) figures are for Tamil Nadu.
 Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; various state budgets; PRS.
 

Annexure 2:  Recommendations of the 15th Finance Commission for 2021-26

The 15th Finance Commission’s (FC) report for the 2021-26 period was released on February 1, 2021.  For the 2021-26 period, the Commission has recommended the share of states in the divisible pool of central taxes to be 41%, same as that for 2020-21 (also recommended by the 15th FC in its report for 2020-21).  This is 1% point lower than the 42% share recommended by the 14th FC (for the 2015-20 period) to separately provide funds for the newly formed union territories of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh.   The 15th FC proposed revised criteria for determining the share of individual states (different from 14th FC).  For the 2021-26 period, Tamil Nadu will have a 1.67% share in the divisible pool of central taxes.  This implies that out of every Rs 100 of revenue in the divisible pool during the 2021-26 period, Tamil Nadu will receive Rs 1.67.

Table 8:  Share of states in the divisible pool of central taxes under the 14th and 15th FC periods 

State

14th FC

15th FC

15th FC

% change

2015-20

2020-21

2021-26

2015-20
 to 2021-26

2020-21
 to 2021-26

Andhra Pradesh

1.808

1.686

1.659

-8.2%

-1.6%

Arunachal Pradesh

0.575

0.722

0.720

25.2%

-0.2%

Assam

1.391

1.284

1.282

-7.8%

-0.1%

Bihar

4.059

4.125

4.124

1.6%

0.0%

Chhattisgarh

1.294

1.401

1.397

8.0%

-0.3%

Goa

0.159

0.158

0.158

-0.3%

0.0%

Gujarat

1.295

1.393

1.426

10.1%

2.4%

Haryana

0.455

0.444

0.448

-1.6%

1.0%

Himachal Pradesh

0.299

0.328

0.340

13.6%

3.9%

Jammu & Kashmir

0.779

-

-

-

-

Jharkhand

1.318

1.358

1.356

2.8%

-0.2%

Karnataka

1.979

1.495

1.495

-24.5%

0.0%

Kerala

1.050

0.797

0.789

-24.8%

-0.9%

Madhya Pradesh

3.170

3.233

3.219

1.5%

-0.5%

Maharashtra

2.319

2.515

2.590

11.7%

3.0%

Manipur

0.259

0.294

0.294

13.3%

-0.3%

Meghalaya

0.270

0.314

0.314

16.6%

0.3%

Mizoram

0.193

0.207

0.205

6.1%

-1.2%

Nagaland

0.209

0.235

0.233

11.5%

-0.7%

Odisha

1.950

1.898

1.856

-4.8%

-2.2%

Punjab

0.662

0.733

0.741

11.9%

1.1%

Rajasthan

2.308

2.451

2.471

7.1%

0.8%

Sikkim

0.154

0.159

0.159

3.2%

0.0%

Tamil Nadu

1.690

1.717

1.672

-1.0%

-2.6%

Telangana

1.024

0.875

0.862

-15.8%

-1.5%

Tripura

0.270

0.291

0.290

7.7%

-0.1%

Uttar Pradesh

7.543

7.352

7.355

-2.5%

0.0%

Uttarakhand

0.442

0.453

0.458

3.7%

1.3%

West Bengal

3.076

3.083

3.084

0.3%

0.1%

Total

42.000

41.000

41.000

   

Note:  Although the 15th Finance Commission recommended the same criteria for 2020-21 and 2021-26 periods, the reference period for computation on some underlying indicators are different. This is why the share in the divisible pool in 2020-21 and 2021-26 differ for states.
Sources: Reports of 14th and 15th FCs; Union Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

The 15th FC recommended grants worth Rs 10.3 lakh crore for states over five years (2021-26).  A portion of these grants will be conditional in nature.  17 states will receive revenue deficit grants during the period 2021-26, including Tamil Nadu.  Sector-specific grants include grants for sectors such as agriculture, health, and rural roads.  Grants to local governments include: (i) Rs 1.2 lakh crore for urban local bodies, (ii) Rs 2.4 lakh crore for rural local bodies, and (iii) health grants worth Rs 70,000 crore through local bodies for healthcare infrastructure.

Table 9:  Grants recommended for 2021-26 (Rs crore)

Grants

Total

Tamil Nadu

Revenue deficit grants

 2,94,514

2,204

Local government grants

4,36,361

25,526*

Disaster management grants

 1,22,601

5,637

Sector-specific grants

 1,29,987

4,784#

State-specific grants

49,599

2,200

Total

10,33,062

40,351

Note:  Note:  This does not include competition-based grants including *grants for incubation of new cities (part of local bodies grants), and #grants for school education, and aspirational districts and blocks.
Source: Report of the 15th FC for 2021-26; PRS.

Grants recommended for Tamil Nadu for 2021-26 include: (i) Rs 2,204 crore as revenue deficit grants, (ii) Rs 25,526 crore for local bodies, (iii) Rs 4,784 crore as sector-specific grants for areas such as agriculture and health, and (iv) Rs 2,200 crore as state-specific grants, including grants for revamping water bodies in Chennai.

Table 10:  Taxes devolved to states as per Union Budget 2021-22

State

2019-20

2020-21
 Revised

2021-22
 Budget

Andhra Pradesh

29,421

22,611

26,935

Arunachal Pradesh

9,363

9,681

11,694

Assam

22,627

17,220

20,819

Bihar

66,049

55,334

66,942

Chhattisgarh

21,049

18,799

22,676

Goa

2,583

2,123

2,569

Gujarat

21,077

18,689

23,148

Haryana

7,408

5,951

7,275

Himachal Pradesh

4,873

4,394

5,524

Jammu & Kashmir

12,623

-38

-

Jharkhand

21,452

18,221

22,010

Karnataka

32,209

20,053

24,273

Kerala

17,084

10,686

12,812

Madhya Pradesh

51,584

43,373

52,247

Maharashtra

37,732

33,743

42,044

Manipur

4,216

3,949

4,765

Meghalaya

4,387

4,207

5,105

Mizoram

3,144

2,783

3,328

Nagaland

3,403

3,151

3,787

Odisha

31,724

25,460

30,137

Punjab

10,777

9,834

12,027

Rajasthan

37,554

32,885

40,107

Sikkim

2,508

2,134

2,582

Tamil Nadu

27,493

23,039

27,148

Telangana

16,655

11,732

13,990

Tripura

4,387

3,899

4,712

Uttar Pradesh

1,22,729

98,618

1,19,395

Uttarakhand

7,189

6,072

7,441

West Bengal

50,051

41,353

50,070

Total

6,83,353

5,49,959

6,65,563

Note:  Actuals for 2019-20 and Revised Estimates for 2020-21 have been reported in the Union Budget after adjusting for excess or less devolution in previous years.  
 Sources:  Union Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

 

Annexure 3:  Comparison of 2020-21 Revised and 2021-22 Budget Estimates

The following tables compare the budget estimates for 2021-22 with the revised estimates for 2020-21.

Table 11:  Key components of the state’s finances

Particular

2020-21 RE

2021-22 BE

% change from 2020-21 RE to 2021-22 BE

Receipts (1+2)

2,94,916

3,26,803

11%

Receipts except Borrowings

1,86,065

2,08,553

12%

1. Revenue Receipts (a+b+c+d)

1,80,701

2,02,496

12%

a. Own Tax Revenue

1,09,969

1,26,644

15%

b. Own Non-Tax Revenue

12,683

14,139

11%

c. Share in central taxes

23,039

27,148

18%

d. Grants-in-aid from the Centre

35,009

34,564

-1%

Of which GST compensation

8,410

7,705

-8%

2. Capital Receipts

1,14,216

1,24,307

9%

a. Borrowings

1,08,851

1,18,250

9%

Of which GST compensation loan

7,608

8,095

6%

Expenditure (3+4)

3,06,917

3,29,035

7%

3. Revenue Expenditure

2,46,695

2,61,189

6%

4. Capital Expenditure

60,222

67,846

13%

i. Capital Outlay

37,734

42,181

12%

ii. Debt Repayment

16,353

19,857

21%

Revenue Deficit

65,994

58,693

-11%

Revenue Deficit (as % of GSDP)

3.40%

2.75%

-

Fiscal Deficit

96,890

92,529

-5%

Fiscal Deficit (as % of GSDP)

4.99%

4.33%

-

Note:  Fiscal deficit exclude loans for GST compensation.
 Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

Table 12:  Key components of the state’s own tax revenue

Tax

2020-21 RE

2021-22 BE

% change from 2020-21 RE to 2021-22 BE

Sales Tax/ VAT

43,784

53,798

23%

State GST

41,249

42,300

3%

Stamp Duty and Registration Fees

10,781

13,253

23%

State Excise Duty

7,815

8,770

12%

Taxes on Vehicles

4,566

6,582

44%

Taxes and Duties on Electricity

1,471

1,355

-8%

Land Revenue

285

560

96%

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

Table 13:  Allocation towards key sectors

Sector

2020-21 RE

2021-22 BE

% change from 2020-21 RE to 2021-22 BE

Education, Sports, Arts, and Culture

40,881

40,208

-2%

Social Welfare and Nutrition

23,592

24,527

4%

Agriculture and allied activities

17,339

23,398

35%

Health and Family Welfare

18,214

18,632

2%

Transport

15,238

18,156

19%

Energy

17,042

16,020

-6%

Rural Development

7,292

8,964

23%

Urban Development

7,083

8,803

24%

Police

8,091

8,601

6%

Irrigation and Flood Control

8,349

5,761

-31%

         

Sources:  Tamil Nadu Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.

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[*] The 30 states include the Union Territory of Delhi and Union Territory of Jammu and Kashmir.